Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionNote allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
It’s easy to lie with statistics, but it’s easier to lie without them.Fred Mosteller
The Noah principle: predicting rain doesn’t count, building arks does.Warren E. Buffett
When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?John Maynard Keynes