Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionNote allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
It’s easy to lie with statistics, but it’s easier to lie without them.Fred Mosteller
Statistics is applied philosophy of science.Alexander Philip Dawid
Being right too soon is socially unacceptable.Robert A. Heinlein