Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionNote allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
Statistics is applied philosophy of science.Alexander Philip Dawid
When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?John Maynard Keynes
It is better to destroy one's own errors than those of others.Democritus