Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionNote allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
It is better to destroy one's own errors than those of others.Democritus
Shouldn't 'it works like a charm' be said about things that don't work?Jason Roy
There is one rule that's very simple, but not easy: observe reality and adjust.Ran Prieur