Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionNote allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
It is the mark of a truly intelligent person to be moved by statistics.George Bernard Shaw
Truth is much too complicated to allow anything but approximations.John Von Neumann
It’s easy to lie with statistics, but it’s easier to lie without them.Fred Mosteller