Rather than just recording what you think will happen, PredictionNote allows you to record just how sure you are that it will happen. If you're properly calibrated, you'll be able to see that about 60% of the things you're 60% sure will happen, do happen, and 90% of the things you're 90% sure will happen, do happen.
There is one rule that's very simple, but not easy: observe reality and adjust.Ran Prieur
Truth is much too complicated to allow anything but approximations.John Von Neumann
Doubt is not a pleasant condition, but certainty is absurd.Voltaire